In this edition of Lens on Markets, Schneider Electric agreed to acquire US software company PTC for approximately $22.6 billion
South African Market Summary
South African Market Summary
South African equities ended marginally weaker on Monday, with the JSE All Share index down 0.05% to 108,326.78 points and the Top 40 easing 0.1% to 100,681.15. Private-sector activity contracted at its fastest pace since December, as the S&P Global South Africa PMI fell to 49.0 in September from 50.5 in August. New orders declined at the sharpest rate in two-and-a-half years, while export business rose for a fourth consecutive month. Supply-chain pressures intensified amid Durban port congestion, shipping disruption and material shortages, while fuel-driven input costs remained elevated. Government announced regulated petrol price increases of up to 12% and wholesale diesel increases of around 10% this week. Despite weaker activity, business expectations improved for a third month to their highest since May.
European Market Summary
European shares closed higher on Monday, with the STOXX 600 gaining 0.4% after reaching a four-month low last week, while France’s CAC 40 fell 0.8% to a six-month low. French assets remained under pressure as investors questioned the government’s ability to deliver spending cuts and deficit reduction ahead of the 2027 election, keeping 10-year yields near their highest since 2008. Political uncertainty also increased in Spain after Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez called a snap election for 29 November. Eurozone business activity expanded at its fastest pace in nearly three-and-a-half years in September, supported by resilient demand. However, inflation accelerated to 3.8% from 3.2% in August, driven by higher energy costs, increasing expectations that the ECB may need to tighten policy further.
US Market Summary
Wall Street advanced on Monday as mega-cap stocks lifted equities despite US Treasury yields remaining near multi-decade highs, with the 10-year briefly reaching 5.3493% and the 30-year 5.7029%. September’s ISM services PMI eased to 54.9 from 55.4, while input prices rose to their highest level in more than four years, reinforcing inflation concerns. Markets cut the probability of another Federal Reserve rate increase this month to around 23%–26%. Asian equities followed Wall Street higher on Tuesday, supported by technology shares and softer oil prices, although mainland Chinese markets remained closed. Japan and Australia established an annual finance ministers’ dialogue, while South Korea outlined a 4.7 trillion won AI-development programme. Foxconn reported a 47% year-on-year rise in third-quarter revenue to T$3.03 trillion, driven by strong AI-related demand.
Asian Market Summary
Asian equities advanced on Tuesday after a technology-led rally pushed the Nasdaq to a record close, while softer oil prices provided additional support despite elevated long-dated US Treasury yields. Mainland Chinese markets remained closed for the National Day holiday and are due to reopen on 8 October. Japan and Australia agreed to establish an annual finance ministers’ dialogue to deepen cooperation on financial, economic and security policy. South Korea announced plans for a 4.7 trillion won programme to develop a frontier AI model from March 2027, combining state investment with private funding. Meanwhile, Taiwan’s Foxconn reported a 47% year-on-year increase in third-quarter revenue to T$3.03 trillion, beating expectations, as strong AI-related demand drove growth across cloud, networking and consumer electronics, while September revenue reached a record T$1.16 trillion.
Currency Market Summary
The South African rand remained under pressure on Monday, extending four consecutive weekly losses as a stronger US dollar and higher domestic fuel prices weighed on sentiment. The euro traded near a 17-month low on Tuesday amid political uncertainty and fiscal concerns across the euro area, while the dollar continued to strengthen alongside higher US Treasury yields. The dollar index moved above 102 and hovered near its strongest level since April last year, supported by euro weakness and rising longer-dated yields. Despite the recent rally, Reuters-polled FX strategists still expect the dollar to surrender most of its gains over the coming year. However, 80% of respondents said the currency was more likely to outperform their three-month forecasts than undershoot them, reflecting the strength of the current bond-market-driven rally.
Commodity Market Summary
Gold eased on Tuesday, pressured by a firmer US dollar and rising Treasury yields, though Gold eased on Tuesday as a firmer US dollar and rising Treasury yields weighed on prices, although losses were limited by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike this month. Oil also edged lower as resilient Middle Eastern crude exports and a coordinated G7 release of 100 million barrels from emergency reserves eased near-term supply concerns. Regional exports exceeded pre-war levels on four days during the final week of September, while Gulf flows excluding Iran recovered to more than 81% of pre-war levels. However, geopolitical risks remained elevated after Yemen’s Houthis claimed attacks on Saudi targets, including an Aramco refinery and airports in Riyadh and Abha. Iranian exports have fallen to zero under a US blockade, while other Gulf producers have maintained flows through alternative shipping practices.
Domestic Company News
Sanlam Limited (SLM) -1.47% and Santam Limited (SNT) +19.06%
Sanlam has agreed to acquire all Santam ordinary shares it does not already own, excluding treasury shares, for R505 per eligible share in cash through a scheme of arrangement. Sanlam currently holds an effective 62.7% interest in Santam, while the offer represents premiums of 26.6% to the last closing price, 25.0% to the 30-day VWAP and 28.6% to the 90-day VWAP as at 2 October 2026. The transaction is intended to simplify the group structure, improve strategic coordination, unlock further cost synergies and enhance capital-allocation flexibility. If implemented, Santam will be delisted from the JSE, NSX and A2X. The scheme requires shareholder and regulatory approvals, with a longstop date of 31 March 2027, subject to agreed extensions. Sanlam Life will fund the consideration through third-party funding sources.
Sirius Real Estate Limited (SRE) +2.19%
Sirius Real Estate reported 11.3% year-on-year rent roll growth for the six months ended 30 September 2026, including 5.1% like-for-like growth, with Germany and the U.K. delivering broadly similar organic performances. The Group deployed approximately €150 million into acquisitions at gross yields above 8%, focused particularly on German assets with defence-related occupiers, including sites in Kiel and Fulda. Sirius also advanced self-storage and industrial storage developments in Germany while disposing of two smaller Sheffield assets to recycle capital. The €400 million corporate bond was repaid at maturity in June, following €185.1 million of bond taps, while liquidity remained above €250 million. Management highlighted a net portfolio yield above 7% and weighted average debt cost of 3.5%, retaining confidence in double-digit total accounting returns.
Global Company News
Schneider Electric SE (SU) -9.97%
Schneider Electric agreed to acquire US software company PTC for approximately $22.6 billion, its largest-ever acquisition, expanding its data-centre, industrial software and AI capabilities. The $205-per-share offer implies a $23.7 billion enterprise value and represents a 42.3% premium to PTC’s last closing price. Schneider intends to finance the transaction through €5 billion–€6 billion of new equity and €16 billion–€17 billion of debt. Management expects €250 million in annual run-rate cost savings by year three and approximately €800 million in revenue synergies, while software-as-a-service revenue would rise to around 24% of group revenue. Shares fell nearly 10%, erasing close to €15 billion in market value, as investors assessed the acquisition premium, financing requirements and software valuations amid AI-related uncertainty.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) -10.85%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide agreed to acquire smaller rival RXO for $5.8 billion, its largest-ever transaction, expanding its North American truck-brokerage footprint and last-mile delivery capabilities. The combined logistics group would have an estimated value of $25 billion, providing greater scale to compete for larger corporate contracts and improve route density. RXO shareholders will receive $17.25 in cash and 0.0856 C.H. Robinson shares per share, valuing RXO at $30.25 per share, a 29% premium to Friday’s close. RXO will be integrated into C.H. Robinson’s North American Surface Transportation unit. The transaction is expected to generate $300 million in net run-rate cost synergies within two years and become accretive to adjusted EPS within nine months. RXO shares jumped 22%, while C.H. Robinson shares fell 13%.
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Research Team
